NFL Odds Report 9/22: Stefon Diggs OVER 54.5 yards receiving + Phillip Lindsay UNDER 47.5 yards rushing + Kyler Murray OVER 13.5 yards rushing

NFL odds report barkley

Week 3 kicks off today in full as 13 games are on the lineup. I am 16-13 betting NFL games so far this year and 4-2 in my top plays. One of my roughest days ever as a bettor in college football came on Saturday where I went 4-6-1. But time to focus back on the pros where I will look to capitalize on what has been a decent year thus far. Today on CA Betting News, I break down the best player props on the board using the latest odds from DraftKing Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Stefon Diggs OVER 54.5 receiving yards vs. Oakland

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds:Diggs OVER 55.5 receiving yards

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Diggs OVER 54.5 receiving yards

raidersStefon Diggs has had a quiet first two weeks to the season, as have all the receivers on the Vikings. Diggs was hampered by a sore hamstring in week 1 that limited him in action and last week faced a difficult pass defense in Green Bay where he did break out with a touchdown. Week 3, he gets a much more favorable matchup with a Raiders pass defense who got torched last week by Patrick Mahomes and rank 27th in total passing yards given up per game. I expect Diggs and the Vikings pass offense to finally break out this weekend amid frustrations with Kirk Cousins and their slow start this year. Diggs is a much better receiver than his numbers have indicated the first two games and it’s time he broke out this year. I expect Diggs and the Vikings to break out and put up big numbers at home today. 

Prediction: Diggs 7 catches, 79 yards

 

Phillip Lindsay UNDER 47.5 yards rushing

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Lindsay UNDER 47.5 yards rushing

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Lindsay UNDER 46.5 yards rushing

broncosThrough two games thus far this season, Phillip Lindsay has carried the ball 11 times for 43 yards and 13 times for 36 yards. Granted, the Bears defense is stout and tough to run against, but Oakland should have been a game where he had more success. Part of the reason for the lower numbers is Denver has been placing a lot more trust in Royce Freeman this year who has broke the 50-yard total in both games and has split carries with Lindsay. Today’s game at Green Bay presents a major challenge where Denver could find themselves behind early and abandoning the running game to try and get something going through the air. Lindsay has just not looked the same from a year ago, and indications are the Broncos are going to lean a little more on Freeman running the ball while Lindsay will play a bigger role as a pass catcher out of the backfield. The Packers shut down the Bears run game in week 1 but struggled a week ago with Dalvin Cook, but Lindsay is no Cook. At 47.5 yards, I don’t see Lindsay getting there in a game where they may be throwing the entire second half and he’ll be splitting time with Freeman. I’ll take the under on 47.5 yards rushing on FD.

Prediction: Phillip Lindsay 12 rushes, 33 yards

 

Kyler Murray OVER 13.5 yards rushing

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Murray OVER 13.5 yards rushig

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Murray OVER 13.5 yards rushing

cardinalsBefore the season began, Kyler Murray’s run total for this game would have been in the 40s, but Arizona has held him back, particularly against the Ravens and their great run defense. Kliff Klingsbury has tried to use Murray as more of a passer and keep him in the pocket early in the season, but there will come a time where Murray will use those legs that helped win him the Heisman Trophy at Oklahoma. Carolina ranks 24th in the NFL in total rush defense so there’s a good chance Arizona will try and establish more of a running game on Sunday at home. I don’t think Murray is going to run a lot in this game, but I expect a couple takeoffs from him and a couple run options with him and Johnson that enable him over a very low number at 13.5 yards. With that low a number, I’ll take a chance and go over the 13.5 yards total.

Prediction: Kyler Murray 34 yards rushing

Picks for this week:
Patriots -12 1H over Jets
Lions +6.5 @ Eagles (top play)
Bucs OVER 26.5 team total points vs. NYG (top play)
Rams-Browns 1H Under 23.5 (top play)
Packers -7.5 vs. Broncos
Phillip Lindsay UNDER 47.5 yards rushing
Kyler Murray OVER 13.5 yards rushing
Stefon Diggs OVER 54.5 yards receiving