Happy Thanksgiving!!! Three NFL games will take center stage as you eat and digest your turkey today. Each day on CA Betting News, I will give you my best angles plays in both the NFL and college football, including totals, spreads, and props for the week. Here my two Thanksgiving Day plays using the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKing Sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills @ Dallas Cowboys -6.5
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Buf-Dal UNDER 47
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Buf-Dal UNDER 47
The No. 1 offense takes off against the No. 3 defense in this Thanksgiving showdown. Buffalo is traveling on a short week to a Dallas team that is in need of a win after a difficult loss to the Patriots on Sunday afternoon. The Bills defense, despite being ranked 3rd in the NFL, has struggled against more top tier offenses. While they have fed off and dominated against weak competition, they gave up 41 points in two contests against the Dolphins, gave up 31 points to the Eagles last month, and 19 to the Browns three weeks ago. They came off a stellar performance against the Broncos in high winds, but it will be much more difficult doing it on the road in Dallas. The Cowboys are 31-19-1 on Thanksgiving Day games and will have their way today at home in Dallas.
Prediction: Cowboys 31, Bills 17
David Montgomery (Chi) OVER 50.5 yards rushing vs. Lions
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Montgomery OVER 50.5 yards rushing
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Montgomery OVER 52.5 yards rushing
The Lions have had their struggles defensively this year, particularly against the run. The Lions have given up 120.7 yards per game on the ground and rank No. 24 in rush defense. Making matters more challenging is the Lions starting of David Blough today as their quarterback against the top-10 Bears defense. With plenty of three and out’s in store for the Lions, the Bears should get more plays than normal on the offensive side, and if they play with the lead most of this game as I expect, it means more carries for Montgomery. Matt Nagy wants to establish more of a running game moving forward and Montgomery should get lots of touches today. I like Montgomery going over 50.5 yards today.
Prediction: Montgomery 18 rushes, 69 yards