Last night, the Chiefs held on to knock off the Chargers in Mexico City to maintain a slim lead over the Raiders in the AFC West. Thanks to the Chargers pulling the plug on the running completely last night (why, I have no idea), Melvin Gordon came up two yards short of his run total and I went 0-2. I am now 70-58-1 playing the number this season. Each day on CA Betting News, I will give you provide you with the best plays for the week in both NFL and college football action. Here is my first play for week 12 using plays using the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKing Sportsbook.
Atlanta Falcons -4.5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Atl -4.5
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Atl -4.5
The Falcons are in the middle of turning their season around while the Buccaneers are in a free for all as they head towards the basement of the NFC South. Jameis Winston leads the league in interceptions with 18 of them and the Bucs pass defense ranks among the worst in the NFL. To make matters worse, the Bucs haven’t covered a spread since their week 4 contest against the Rams and are 2-8 against the number this season. The Falcons are coming off two very impressive road wins in New Orleans and Carolina and now return home with some confidence. Matt Ryan will be licking his chops this weekend against this pass defense and Dirk Koetter will have the opportunity to exact some revenge on his former team. Expect the Falcons put together their best offensive game plan of the season against the hobbled Bucs. The Falcons defense, which started the season as one of the worst in the league, has given up just one touchdown in the last two weeks. This is a situation of two teams going in complete opposite directions and I advise you to roll with the momentum here. I think the Falcons take it to the struggling Bucs this weekend.
Prediction: Falcons 34, Bucs 20
Seattle Seahawks +225 to win NFC West
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Sea +225
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Sea +225
The Rams struggles this season has really put this down to a two-team race for the division between the 9-1 49ers and the 8-2 Seahawks. The Seahawks do get San Francisco one more time this season on their home turf and would own the tiebreaker in the division should they win that game, which I expect. The 49ers are dealing with injuries that are clearly affecting them, losing two weeks ago on Monday night and then needing a late 4th quarter rally to beat the Cardinals on Sunday. The 49ers schedule moving forward is challenging having to face Green Bay, Baltimore, New Orleans, a hot Atlanta team, the Rams, and the Seahawks to close out the season. There’s a chance they could lose more than half of those games. The Seahawks schedule is a little more generous, facing Philadelphia, Minnesota, the Rams, Carolina, Arizona, and San Francisco. If the Seahawks are able to win that last game against the 49ers, I like their chances to have a better record overall in weeks 12 through 16, especially with the addition of Josh Gordon. The status for George Kittle, Matt Breida, and Emmanuel Sanders are all up in the air in a huge game this Sunday against the Packers. I like the Seahawks to have the better record down the stretch and win the NFC West at +225.