Week 11 will kick off tomorrow night when the Steelers travel to Cleveland to take on the Browns in a AFC North rivalry matchup. Thus far this season, I am 61-52-1 playing the number and 16-13-1 in my top plays which I will unveil on Friday. Each day on CA Betting News during the NFL betting season, I will give you my best angles and plays for the week, which includes player props, team props and spread plays. Here is another one of my plays for week 11 using the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKing Sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins UNDER 41 points
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Buf-Mia UNDER 41
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Buf-Mia UNDER 41
The Dolphins head home on a two-game winning streak and after an impressive 16-12 victory on the road in Indianapolis. Despite their winning streak, they still have concerns on offense as they play one of the top defenses in the NFL, the Bills. Buffalo ranks No. 3 in total defense and No. 3 in pass defense. Seven of the Bills last nine games have been scored under this total of 41 points, and five of the last seven Dolphins game have gone under that total. The first game between these two totaled 52 points, but that was with a full compliment of Dolphins weapons. They will be without leading receiver Preston Williams and still without starting running back Mark Walton, who is facing a four-game suspension. This will be a different game than the first with Buffalo’s defense having a much better performance than their first meeting. Look for the under to come through in this one.
Prediction: Bills 20, Dolphins 14
Russell Wilson +225 to win MVP
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Wilson +200 to win MVP
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Wilson +225 to win MVP
Really, this is a two-man race at the moment between quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Lamar Jackson, so anything over Even odds is value. Deschaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Christian McCaffrey, and Dalvin Cook could get in the discussion here during the second half of the season, but there are no two players who are having bigger impacts on their teams than Wilson and Jackson. The victory over the 49ers the other night as well as the addition of Josh Gordon to the Seahawks offense gives me reason to lean towards Wilson winning this MVP race. Wilson has done it with his legs and with his arm, and I think that gives him a huge edge over Jackson who still needs to show he can win games through the air. Jackson still has some difficult games to navigate through, facing Buffalo, San Francisco, and the Steelers in the coming weeks. Given the choice of these two players, I like Wilson moving forward, and at +225 odds on DK, I’ll take it.