NFL Odds Report 10/6: Khalil Mack OVER 1.5 sacks + Sony Michel OVER 61.5 rush yards + Tyler Eifert OVER 1.5 receptions

NFL odds report brady

Week 5 kicks off this afternoon and I have my top 3 player props for you below. On Saturday in college football I had a solid 4-2 day playing the number. In the pros, I am 10-3 in my top plays and 30-22 overall for the season playing the number and the players. Each day on CA Betting News, I will break down at least one of the games for the upcoming NFL week and give you my top plays every Friday and player props Sunday. Here are my top three player props for week 5 using the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKing Sportsbook

 

Khalil Mack OVER 1.5 sacks +180

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: NA

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Mack OVER 1.5 sacks +180

bearsIf you don’t think that Khalil Mack hasn’t had this game circled since last April when these scheduled came out, you are crazy. He’s already made the comment earlier this week that this is a game he has been waiting for for a long time. Mack gets to play the team that traded him away and refused to pay him, the Oakland Raiders. This play is all about the value. I wouldn’t take this play at even odds, but at +180, it’s worth the risk. Mack will make it his business today to show Oakland just how bad a mistake that was. Mack has been dominant so far this year, already sacking an opposing quarterback 4.5 times thus far. Derek Carr has already been sacked 8 times in 2019 and hasn’t faced a defense anywhere near this dangerous as the Bears. The Bears were third in total sacks a year ago and are third so far this year with 17 total sacks through four games. With the value at +180, I will take the chance here and go over on Mack 1.5 sacks in London.

Prediction: Khalil Mack 2 sacks

 

Sony Michel OVER  61.5 rushing yards

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Michel OVER 68.5 rushing yards

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Michel OVER 61.5 rushing yards

patriotsGet ready to watch a Washington Redskins team today that has all but lost faith in their coach and is ready to turn the page on the Jay Gruden era. It could get ugly in the nation’s capital, and expect Sony Michel to be a part of that ugliness. I never usually advise taking a Patriots running back in a player prop as Bill Bellichick can be unpredictable, but all three backs should get plenty of work today against a Redskins team that has all packed in through four weeks and rank nearly dead last against the run. With the DK number being at 61.5, I will take that to the bank as Michel should have a big game against this poor Redskins run defense which has had problems all year stopping the run. I also like Sony Michel’s number at -140 on DK to score a touchdown in the game. Give me that prop and Michel over 61.5 rushing yards.

Prediction: Sony Michel 15 rushes, 92 yards

 

Tyler Eifert OVER 2.5 receptions

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Michel OVER 68.5 rushing yards

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Michel OVER 61.5 rushing yards

bengalsThe Cardinals may not have won a game yet this year, but they do lead the NFL in one category by a lot: giving up receptions and yards to tight ends. Any tight end who plays the Cardinals should have this game circled on their schedule. In Week 1, T.J. Hockenson went 6 receptions for 131 yards; in week 2, Mark Andrews went 8 receptions for 112 yards; in week 3, Greg Olsen went 6 receptions for 75 yards; last week, Will Dissly went 7 receptions for 57 yards. Next up for the Cardinals defense to defend? Tyler Eifert, who has put up five or more receptions in two of his games this year and is the Bengals top tight end option. The yardage total is low here at 30.5 yards, but Eifert isn’t usually a big play tight end, so I will play it more conservative and just go with the receptions, which I like at 2.5. Give me the over on that number.

Prediction: Tyler Eifert 5 receptions, 48 yards

Summary of my plays this week:
Russel Wilson OVER 19.5 rushing yards (Top Play) – WIN
Bucs +3 @ Saints (Top Play)
Ravens -3 vs. Steelers (Top Play)
Chiefs -6.5 1H vs. Colts (Top Play)
Patriots -9 1H vs. Redskins
Bucs OVER 21.5 total points @ Saints
Tyler Eifert OVER 2.5 receptions vs. Cardinals
Khalil Mack +180 OVER 1.5 sacks vs. Raiders
Sony Michel OVER 61.5 yards rushing @ Redskins