Eleven days and counting from Super Bowl XLIV in Miami. The teams will be touching down this weekend and we continue to give you our best Super Bowl plays. Every day on CA Betting News, we will give you our best plays and prop bets for Super Bowl Sunday. Thus far, we are 103-87-3 on the season. Here is one of my prop bets for Super Bowl XLIV using the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKing Sportsbook.
Raheem Mostert (SF) to score TD -125 vs. Chiefs
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Mostert to score a TD -125
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Mostert to score a TD -155
When it comes to scoring touchdowns, there have not been many players in the league who have been as hot as Raheem Mostert has been. I will take that back. There is NO player who has been as hot as Mostert in finding the end zone. Mostert has found pay dirt in seven of his last 8 games! Sadly, the only game he didn’t score was the divisional round against Minnesota where we did pick him to score and he didn’t, so this is my mulligan for the year. Since week 12, Mostert has scored 11 times including a four-touchdown performance a week ago in the NFC Championship game. With Tevin Coleman a question mark for the Super Bowl, the 49ers will likely lean on Mostert even more. They’ll lean on him even if he’s healthy, but moreso if Coleman isn’t.
The 49ers have become very run heavy the last two games. Jimmy Garoppolo has only thrown the ball 14 times in his last six quarters of football. Furthermore, the 49ers want to exploit the Chiefs weakness which has been defending the run all year. With Chris Jones back, that will become a little more difficult, so as I said in the last two days, expect the 49ers to start out with the pass game early to try and set up the running game. Mostert will get a heavy dose, and if they get near the end zone, I expect him to be the primary ball carrier as he has been in most of the last 8 games, with the exception of the Vikings game. I like the -125 for him to score a touchdown to go along with the +900 value play on him winning MVP should the 49ers win the game outright.
Super Bowl Plays Thus Far
Raheem Mostert (SF) to score a TD -125
(if Chiefs win) Patrick Mahomes to win MVP +125
(if 49ers win) Raheem Mostert to win MVP +900